Distance: 4-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.4 vs 1.9 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Matyushenko's wrestling (3.3 takedowns per 15) against Jones's striking is the central exchange: Jones stops 95% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 10-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Jones | Matyushenko |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 39 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′0″ |
| Reach | 84″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Jones holds a 10-inch reach edge (84" to 74"); Matyushenko has to cross distance to land.
Favors JonesJones lands 4.4 significant strikes per minute to Matyushenko’s 1.9: a real volume gap.
Favors JonesMatyushenko averages 3.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Jones has stopped 95% of attempts on record.
Favors JonesWatch the first takedown attempt from Matyushenko: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Matyushenko keeps landing takedowns at 3.3 per 15 minutes; if Jones stays upright, the striking rates (4.4 vs 1.9 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
