Grappling: 4.2 takedowns / 15 vs 63% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.3 vs 0 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 8-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Kongo | Barry |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 82″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Kongo holds a 8-inch reach edge (82" to 74"); Barry has to cross distance to land.
Favors KongoKongo averages 2.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Barry has stopped 76% of attempts on record.
Favors BarryBarry has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.5 strikes per minute.
Favors KongoWatch the first takedown attempt from Kongo: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Kongo keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Barry stays upright, the striking rates (3.3 vs 2.7 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
