Durability: Overeem finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Anjos | Cerrone |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 32 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Cerrone holds a 3-inch reach edge (73" to 70"); Anjos has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors CerroneAnjos has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute.
Favors CerroneAnjos averages 1.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Cerrone has stopped 73% of attempts on record.
Favors CerroneWho sets the range in round one: Cerrone holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 60% and 53%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
