Grappling: 2.6 takedowns / 15 vs 56% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 4 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Werdum | Browne |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′6″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 79″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Browne has finished 86% of archived wins (5 KO/TKO, 1 submission), 4 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors BrowneWerdum averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Browne has stopped 75% of attempts on record.
Favors BrowneBrowne holds a 2-inch reach edge (79" to 77"); Werdum has to cross distance to land.
Favors BrowneBrowne has 4 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 55% and 42%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
