Pace: 4.6 vs 3.3 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Guillard finished 5× on record
| Attribute | Miller | Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Height | 5′8″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 71″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Guillard has been finished 5 times in the archive and absorbs 1.9 strikes per minute; Miller has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors MillerGuillard has finished 70% of archived wins (7 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors GuillardNeither fighter shoots often, but Miller attempts 1.7 submissions per 15 minutes once a scramble starts.
Favors MillerGuillard has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 56% and 66%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
