Durability: Fisher finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (13% vs 56% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Two grapplers by the numbers (2.9 and 3.1 takedowns per 15). Whoever wins the first clinch battle sets the terms for the rest.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 3.1 takedowns / 15 vs 81% defense
| Attribute | Maynard | Guida |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 30 |
| Height | 5′9″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Guida averages 3.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Maynard has stopped 81% of attempts on record.
Favors MaynardMaynard has 2 archived five-round fights to Guida’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors MaynardGuida has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3 strikes per minute.
Favors MaynardWatch the first takedown attempt from Maynard: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Maynard keeps landing takedowns at 2.9 per 15 minutes; if Guida stays upright, the striking rates (1.9 vs 2.6 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
