The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 4:02
BJ PennRound 2Joe Stevenson
28 / 49Sig. strikes9 / 26
57%Accuracy35%
40 / 63Total strikes9 / 26
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
1:39Control0:00
6.9Pace / min2.2
100%Control share0%
BJ Penn
Targethead 96% · body 4% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 71% · clinch 4% · ground 25%
Joe Stevenson
Targethead 78% · body 22% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 78% · clinch 22% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeBJ Penn landed 28 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeBJ Penn held 99s of control to 0s.Striking edgeBJ Penn struck at 57% accuracy to 35%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upBJ Penn's significant-strike pace moved +167% from R1 to R2, 6.9 against 2.6 per minute.
Phase shiftBJ Penn's ground share of landed strikes moved -60 pts, to 25% on the ground against 71% at distance.
Control swingBJ Penn's control time moved -196s, 99s against 295s.
Defensive driftBJ Penn absorbed significant strikes +39% faster than in R1, 2.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Pace upJoe Stevenson's significant-strike pace moved +39% from R1 to R2, 2.2 against 1.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJoe Stevenson's significant-strike accuracy moved -45 pts, 35% against 80%.
Target shiftJoe Stevenson's head share of landed strikes moved +28 pts, to 78% head with 22% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftJoe Stevenson's ground share of landed strikes moved -100 pts, to 0% on the ground against 78% at distance.
Defensive driftJoe Stevenson absorbed significant strikes +167% faster than in R1, 6.9 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
BJ Penn
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Joe Stevenson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
41BJ Penn sig. strikes
17Joe Stevenson sig. strikes
2rounds observed
+167%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (BJ Penn)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.