Referee · Mark SmithMike Bell · 26-30Eric Colon · 26-30Ron McCarthy · 26-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Charles OliveiraRound 3Tony Ferguson
13 / 19Sig. strikes2 / 6
68%Accuracy33%
24 / 31Total strikes4 / 8
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
3:59Control0:05
2.6Pace / min0.4
98%Control share2%
Charles Oliveira
Targethead 62% · body 23% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 31% · clinch 0% · ground 69%
Tony Ferguson
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeCharles Oliveira landed 13 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeCharles Oliveira held 239s of control to 5s.Striking edgeCharles Oliveira struck at 68% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downTony Ferguson's significant-strike pace moved -67% from R2 to R3, 0.4 against 1.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftTony Ferguson's significant-strike accuracy moved -52 pts, 33% against 86%.
Target shiftTony Ferguson's head share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftTony Ferguson's ground share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Charles Oliveira
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tony Ferguson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
41Charles Oliveira sig. strikes
19Tony Ferguson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-67%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Tony Ferguson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.