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- UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
- Clay Guida vs Nate Diaz
Lightweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalPhoto:
Bhenricksen · Public domain · via Wikimedia Commons
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Saturday, January 31, 2009 · Las Vegas · Nevada
Full card →Result
Clay Guida def. Nate Diaz
Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Yves LavignePatricia Morse-Jarman · 29-28Roy Silbert · 28-29Nelson Hamilton · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00
Clay GuidaRound 3Nate Diaz
10 / 27Sig. strikes23 / 65
37%Accuracy35%
16 / 34Total strikes32 / 75
0Knockdowns0
2 / 4Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
2:46Control0:20
2.0Pace / min4.6
89%Control share11%
Clay Guida
Targethead 0% · body 10% · leg 90%
Phasedistance 60% · clinch 40% · ground 0%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 78% · body 22% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 65% · clinch 30% · ground 4%
Statistical signals
Output edgeNate Diaz landed 23 significant strikes to 10.Control edgeClay Guida held 166s of control to 20s.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Pace downClay Guida's significant-strike pace moved -33% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 3.0 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftClay Guida's significant-strike accuracy moved -23 pts, 37% against 60%.
- Target shiftClay Guida's head share of landed strikes moved -13 pts, to 0% head with 10% body and 90% leg.
- Phase shiftClay Guida's ground share of landed strikes moved -20 pts, to 0% on the ground against 60% at distance.
- Defensive driftClay Guida absorbed significant strikes +229% faster than in R2, 4.6 against 1.4 per minute.
- Pace upNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved +229% from R2 to R3, 4.6 against 1.4 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftNate Diaz's significant-strike accuracy moved -18 pts, 35% against 54%.
- Target shiftNate Diaz's head share of landed strikes moved +21 pts, to 78% head with 22% body and 0% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Clay Guida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
49Clay Guida sig. strikes
49Nate Diaz sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+229%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Nate Diaz)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
49 / 99Sig. strikes49 / 135
49%Accuracy36%
75 / 127Total strikes70 / 158
0Knockdowns0
4 / 11Takedowns0 / 8
1Sub attempts0
8:47Control0:51
15Head39
4Body7
30Leg3
Clay GuidaNate Diaz
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
| R1 |
Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record22-13-0
27Age23
5'7"Height6'0"
70"Reach76"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
2.63Sig. str./min4.57
3.10TD / 15 min1.05
Clay Guida17-19 in archive
2KO/TKO wins
5Sub wins
41%Finish rate