Kalshi settlement: Eric Nolan — YES
Market closedSettled
We started recording this market after trading began, so “First observed” is our first record, not the opening price.
Prediction-market prices, not sportsbook odds and not a PropBetEdge model. Settlement is the market venue's, not our result.
A draw or no contest pays 50¢ per contract.
The fight ended by KO/TKO (Punch) in round 3 at 3:26, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports results ↗
| 0 | Knockdowns | 1 |
|---|---|---|
| 79/289 | Sig. strikes27% · 40% | 111/277 |
| 90/302 | Total strikes | 116/282 |
| 0/7 | Takedowns | 0/0 |
| 1:42 | Control | 0:21 |
| 0 | Reversals | 0 |
| 51/246 | Head | 99/257 |
|---|---|---|
| 17/29 | Body | 11/19 |
| 11/14 | Leg | 1/1 |
| 74/276 | Distance | 95/254 |
|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | Clinch | 16/23 |
| 0/0 | Ground | 0/0 |
Both breakdowns decompose the same significant-strike totals, once by target and once by position, so each adds back to the sig. strikes line above.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
McGee’s retirement ends a 25-fight UFC run defined by pace and durability, while Nolan’s breakthrough exposes the limits of using career averages to price late-stage fighters.
McGee enters UFC 332 as a sizable underdog, but his volume and control game attack the least-established parts of Eric Nolan’s five-round UFC sample.
| R1 |
| Court McGee |
| 0 |
| 22/76 |
| 42/96 |
| 0/3 |
| 0 |
| 1:11 |
| 10 |
| 6 |
| 6 |
| Eric Nolan | 0 | 23/59 | 27/63 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:02 | 18 | 4 | 1 |
| R2 | Court McGee | 0 | 52/120 | 56/126 | 0/3 | 0 | 0:14 | 40 | 7 | 5 |
| Eric Nolan | 0 | 46/102 | 46/102 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| R3 | Court McGee | 0 | 24/77 | 29/82 | 0/1 | 0 | 0:17 | 14 | 5 | 5 |
| Eric Nolan | 1 | 52/85 | 52/85 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:19 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Can Eric Nolan keep the fight standing against Court McGee's 1.78 takedowns per 15 minutes? What the tape, the archive and PropSports say ahead of UFC 332 on Oct 3, 2026, and which markets the answer touches.
