Kalshi settlement: Francisco Prado — YES
Market closedSettled
Prediction-market prices, not sportsbook odds and not a PropBetEdge model. Settlement is the market venue's, not our result.
A draw or no contest pays 50¢ per contract.
The fight ended by KO/TKO (Punches) in round 1 at 4:23, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports results ↗
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 27/55 | Sig. strikes49% · 43% | 12/28 |
| 42/72 | Total strikes | 15/31 |
| 2/2 | Takedowns | 0/0 |
| 2:15 | Control | 0:00 |
| 0 | Reversals | 0 |
| 21/46 | Head | 7/23 |
|---|---|---|
| 3/5 | Body | 0/0 |
| 3/4 | Leg | 5/5 |
| 11/31 | Distance | 12/28 |
|---|---|---|
| 0/0 | Clinch | 0/0 |
| 16/24 | Ground | 0/0 |
Both breakdowns decompose the same significant-strike totals, once by target and once by position, so each adds back to the sig. strikes line above.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Francisco Prado |
Prado converted pressure into a first-round stoppage against Ismael Bonfim, but the extreme weight miss and his thin finishing sample complicate the betting takeaway.
Prado may enter the cage heavier after Bonfim’s major miss, but Bonfim still owns the cleaner striking metrics in a volatile three-round matchup.
| 0 |
| 25/51 |
| 34/61 |
| 2/2 |
| 0 |
| 2:16 |
| 19 |
| 1 |
| 5 |
| Ismael Bonfim | 0 | 13/26 | 13/26 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
Bonfim’s technical advantages now sit behind two unresolved questions: whether the bout proceeds and what his 163.5-pound weigh-in means for his conditioning.
