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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Jeremy StephensRound 3Estevan Payan
21 / 37Sig. strikes8 / 27
57%Accuracy30%
42 / 59Total strikes20 / 41
0Knockdowns0
2 / 4Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
2:59Control0:17
4.2Pace / min1.6
91%Control share9%
Jeremy Stephens
Targethead 48% · body 38% · leg 14%
Phasedistance 33% · clinch 0% · ground 67%
Estevan Payan
Targethead 63% · body 13% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 25% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJeremy Stephens landed 21 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeJeremy Stephens held 179s of control to 17s.Striking edgeJeremy Stephens struck at 57% accuracy to 30%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upJeremy Stephens's significant-strike pace moved +75% from R2 to R3, 4.2 against 2.4 per minute.
Accuracy shiftJeremy Stephens's significant-strike accuracy moved -14 pts, 57% against 71%.
Phase shiftJeremy Stephens's ground share of landed strikes moved +17 pts, to 67% on the ground against 33% at distance.
Grappling pressureJeremy Stephens attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 4 against 2.
Defensive driftJeremy Stephens absorbed significant strikes +33% faster than in R2, 1.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Pace upEstevan Payan's significant-strike pace moved +33% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 1.2 per minute.
Defensive driftEstevan Payan absorbed significant strikes +75% faster than in R2, 4.2 against 2.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Jeremy Stephens
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Estevan Payan
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
49Jeremy Stephens sig. strikes
25Estevan Payan sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+75%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Jeremy Stephens)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
