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- UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
- King Green vs Tony Ferguson
Lightweight · 3 rounds · Card
FinalPhoto:
ESPN · via Wikimedia Commons
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
Saturday, July 29, 2023 · Salt Lake City · Utah
Result
King Green def. Tony Ferguson
Submission (Arm Triangle From Half Guard) · Round 3 · 4:54 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Referee · Dan MiragliottaSource · UFC Stats · round stats archived
Market
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 4:54
King GreenRound 3Tony Ferguson
48 / 68Sig. strikes24 / 45
71%Accuracy53%
48 / 68Total strikes24 / 47
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
0:49Control0:00
9.8Pace / min4.9
100%Control share0%
King Green
Targethead 71% · body 19% · leg 10%
Phasedistance 94% · clinch 0% · ground 6%
Tony Ferguson
Targethead 54% · body 29% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 96% · clinch 4% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeKing Green landed 48 significant strikes to 24.Striking edgeKing Green struck at 71% accuracy to 53%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
- Phase shiftKing Green's ground share of landed strikes moved -30 pts, to 6% on the ground against 94% at distance.
- Control swingKing Green's control time moved -107s, 49s against 156s.
- Defensive driftKing Green absorbed significant strikes +53% faster than in R2, 4.9 against 3.2 per minute.
- Pace upTony Ferguson's significant-strike pace moved +53% from R2 to R3, 4.9 against 3.2 per minute.
- Target shiftTony Ferguson's head share of landed strikes moved -33 pts, to 54% head with 29% body and 17% leg.
- Phase shiftTony Ferguson's ground share of landed strikes moved -13 pts, to 0% on the ground against 96% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
King Green
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tony Ferguson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
137King Green sig. strikes
54Tony Ferguson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+53%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Tony Ferguson)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · UFC Stats
137 / 217Sig. strikes54 / 123
63%Accuracy44%
145 / 227Total strikes62 / 138
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 3
1Sub attempts0
3:25Control0:13
95Head38
24Body11
18Leg5
King GreenTony Ferguson
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
|
Tale of the tape
36-17-1 (1 NC)Record26-11-0
36Age39
5'10"Height5'11"
71"Reach76"
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
6.49Sig. str./min4.91
1.32TD / 15 min0.39
King Green11-9 in archive
4KO/TKO wins
1Sub wins
45%Finish rate
