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- UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
- Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson
Welterweight · 5 rounds · Card
FinalUFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Saturday, September 10, 2022 · Las Vegas · Nevada
Full card →Result
Nate Diaz def. Tony Ferguson
Submission (Guillotine Choke From Bottom Guard) · Round 4 · 2:52 · 5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Referee · Marc GoddardSource · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R4 · 2:52
Nate DiazRound 4Tony Ferguson
25 / 51Sig. strikes11 / 25
49%Accuracy44%
25 / 51Total strikes11 / 25
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 1
1Sub. attempts0
0:00Control0:08
8.7Pace / min3.8
0%Control share100%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 76% · body 24% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Tony Ferguson
Targethead 9% · body 45% · leg 45%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeNate Diaz landed 25 significant strikes to 11.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R3
- Pace upNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved +68% from R3 to R4, 8.7 against 5.2 per minute.
- Pace downTony Ferguson's significant-strike pace moved -36% from R3 to R4, 3.8 against 6.0 per minute.
- Accuracy shiftTony Ferguson's significant-strike accuracy moved -15 pts, 44% against 59%.
- Target shiftTony Ferguson's head share of landed strikes moved -31 pts, to 9% head with 45% body and 45% leg.
- Defensive driftTony Ferguson absorbed significant strikes +68% faster than in R3, 8.7 against 5.2 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tony Ferguson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
101Nate Diaz sig. strikes
80Tony Ferguson sig. strikes
4rounds observed
+68%largest pace swing, R3 to R4 (Nate Diaz)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 4 rounds · UFC Stats
101 / 217Sig. strikes80 / 172
47%Accuracy47%
101 / 217Total strikes80 / 172
0Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns1 / 3
1Sub attempts0
0:00Control0:08
71Head23
21Body23
9Leg34
Nate DiazTony Ferguson
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|
|
Tale of the tape
22-13-0Record26-11-0
37Age38
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach76"
SouthpawStanceOrthodox
4.57Sig. str./min4.91
1.05TD / 15 min0.39
Nate Diaz1-2 in archive
0KO/TKO wins
0Sub wins
0%Finish rate