Referee · Mario YamasakiDoug Crosby · 27-30Andy Roberts · 27-30Cecil Peoples · 26-30Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Lyoto MachidaRound 3David Heath
33 / 50Sig. strikes3 / 12
66%Accuracy25%
45 / 63Total strikes11 / 21
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
2:32Control0:00
6.6Pace / min0.6
100%Control share0%
Lyoto Machida
Targethead 82% · body 12% · leg 6%
Phasedistance 21% · clinch 24% · ground 55%
David Heath
Targethead 33% · body 33% · leg 33%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeLyoto Machida landed 33 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeLyoto Machida held 152s of control to 0s.Striking edgeLyoto Machida struck at 66% accuracy to 25%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upLyoto Machida's significant-strike pace moved +94% from R2 to R3, 6.6 against 3.4 per minute.
Target shiftLyoto Machida's head share of landed strikes moved +58 pts, to 82% head with 12% body and 6% leg.
Phase shiftLyoto Machida's ground share of landed strikes moved +55 pts, to 55% on the ground against 21% at distance.
Control swingLyoto Machida's control time moved +147s, 152s against 5s.
Pace downDavid Heath's significant-strike pace moved -25% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 0.8 per minute.
Defensive driftDavid Heath absorbed significant strikes +94% faster than in R2, 6.6 against 3.4 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Lyoto Machida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
David Heath
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
67Lyoto Machida sig. strikes
8David Heath sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+300%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (David Heath)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.