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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Lyoto MachidaRound 3Kazuhiro Nakamura
25 / 28Sig. strikes4 / 11
89%Accuracy36%
54 / 57Total strikes6 / 13
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns1 / 3
0Sub. attempts0
2:46Control0:43
5.0Pace / min0.8
79%Control share21%
Lyoto Machida
Targethead 44% · body 48% · leg 8%
Phasedistance 16% · clinch 72% · ground 12%
Kazuhiro Nakamura
Targethead 75% · body 25% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 50% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeLyoto Machida landed 25 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeLyoto Machida held 166s of control to 43s.Striking edgeLyoto Machida struck at 89% accuracy to 36%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upLyoto Machida's significant-strike pace moved +19% from R2 to R3, 5.0 against 4.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftLyoto Machida's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 89% against 70%.
Target shiftLyoto Machida's head share of landed strikes moved -37 pts, to 44% head with 48% body and 8% leg.
Phase shiftLyoto Machida's ground share of landed strikes moved -55 pts, to 12% on the ground against 16% at distance.
Defensive driftLyoto Machida absorbed significant strikes +33% faster than in R2, 0.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upKazuhiro Nakamura's significant-strike pace moved +33% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 0.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Lyoto Machida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Kazuhiro Nakamura
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
70Lyoto Machida sig. strikes
15Kazuhiro Nakamura sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-63%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Kazuhiro Nakamura)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
