Kalshi settlement: Mandel Nallo — YES
Market closedSettled
Prediction-market prices, not sportsbook odds and not a PropBetEdge model. Settlement is the market venue's, not our result.
A draw or no contest pays 50¢ per contract.
Market wins
Market price recorded 2 min before the algorithm locked (Kalshi prediction market). Later market moves never change this contest.
The fight ended by KO/TKO (Punches) in round 2 at 0:47, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports results ↗
| 1 | Knockdowns | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 58/100 | Sig. strikes58% · 28% | 13/47 |
| 58/100 | Total strikes | 14/49 |
| 1/1 | Takedowns | 0/0 |
| 0:32 | Control | 0:00 |
| 0 | Reversals | 0 |
| 40/77 | Head | 9/37 |
|---|---|---|
| 7/10 | Body | 1/5 |
| 11/13 | Leg | 3/5 |
| 56/97 | Distance | 13/46 |
|---|---|---|
| 0/0 | Clinch | 0/1 |
| 2/3 | Ground | 0/0 |
Both breakdowns decompose the same significant-strike totals, once by target and once by position, so each adds back to the sig. strikes line above.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nallo delivered as a heavy favorite, but the route to his first UFC win matters more than the result for pricing his next fight.
Landwehr leaves featherweight on a three-fight knockout skid, but Mandel Nallo’s thin UFC sample makes a steep favorite price difficult to evaluate cleanly.
| R1 |
| Mandel Nallo |
| 0 |
| 48/86 |
| 48/86 |
| 1/1 |
| 1 |
| 0:30 |
| 33 |
| 6 |
| 9 |
| Nate Landwehr | 0 | 12/40 | 13/42 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| R2 | Mandel Nallo | 1 | 10/14 | 10/14 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:02 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Nate Landwehr | 0 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Does Mandel Nallo's 3 inches of reach decide the range against Nate Landwehr? Tale of the tape, recent form and the markets connected to the answer at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott on Oct 17, 2026.
