Referee · Jason HerzogMike Bell · 28-29Junichiro Kamijo · 28-29Tony Weeks · 28-29Source · UFC Stats · round stats archived
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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matheus NicolauRound 3Tim Elliott
14 / 24Sig. strikes17 / 52
58%Accuracy33%
74 / 87Total strikes48 / 86
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
2:08Control0:36
2.8Pace / min3.4
78%Control share22%
Matheus Nicolau
Targethead 50% · body 43% · leg 7%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Tim Elliott
Targethead 59% · body 24% · leg 18%
Phasedistance 94% · clinch 6% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTim Elliott landed 17 significant strikes to 14.Control edgeMatheus Nicolau held 128s of control to 36s.Striking edgeMatheus Nicolau struck at 58% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downMatheus Nicolau's significant-strike pace moved -55% from R2 to R3, 2.8 against 6.2 per minute.
Control swingMatheus Nicolau's control time moved +128s, 128s against 0s.
Pace downTim Elliott's significant-strike pace moved -41% from R2 to R3, 3.4 against 5.8 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matheus Nicolau
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tim Elliott
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
64Matheus Nicolau sig. strikes
70Tim Elliott sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+63%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matheus Nicolau)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.