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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matt HughesRound 3Matt Serra
3 / 9Sig. strikes6 / 13
33%Accuracy46%
16 / 22Total strikes10 / 17
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns1 / 1
0Sub. attempts0
2:32Control0:44
0.6Pace / min1.2
78%Control share22%
Matt Hughes
Targethead 100% · body 0% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Matt Serra
Targethead 67% · body 17% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 50% · clinch 0% · ground 50%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatt Serra landed 6 significant strikes to 3.Control edgeMatt Hughes held 152s of control to 44s.Striking edgeMatt Serra struck at 46% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downMatt Hughes's significant-strike pace moved -86% from R2 to R3, 0.6 against 4.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Hughes's significant-strike accuracy moved -51 pts, 33% against 84%.
Target shiftMatt Hughes's head share of landed strikes moved +62 pts, to 100% head with 0% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftMatt Hughes's ground share of landed strikes moved -81 pts, to 0% on the ground against 100% at distance.
Control swingMatt Hughes's control time moved -69s, 152s against 221s.
Defensive driftMatt Hughes absorbed significant strikes +100% faster than in R2, 1.2 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upMatt Serra's significant-strike pace moved +100% from R2 to R3, 1.2 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMatt Serra's significant-strike accuracy moved +19 pts, 46% against 27%.
Phase shiftMatt Serra's ground share of landed strikes moved +50 pts, to 50% on the ground against 50% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matt Hughes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Matt Serra
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
34Matt Hughes sig. strikes
14Matt Serra sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+110%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matt Hughes)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
