The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 4:09
Nate DiazRound 2Jim Miller
23 / 48Sig. strikes9 / 27
48%Accuracy33%
48 / 73Total strikes10 / 28
0Knockdowns0
0 / 1Takedowns0 / 1
2Sub. attempts0
1:41Control0:00
5.5Pace / min2.2
100%Control share0%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 70% · body 13% · leg 17%
Phasedistance 35% · clinch 65% · ground 0%
Jim Miller
Targethead 56% · body 22% · leg 22%
Phasedistance 67% · clinch 33% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeNate Diaz landed 23 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeNate Diaz held 101s of control to 0s.Striking edgeNate Diaz struck at 48% accuracy to 33%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R1
Pace upNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved +20% from R1 to R2, 5.5 against 4.6 per minute.
Target shiftNate Diaz's head share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 70% head with 13% body and 17% leg.
Pace downJim Miller's significant-strike pace moved -32% from R1 to R2, 2.2 against 3.2 per minute.
Target shiftJim Miller's head share of landed strikes moved +18 pts, to 56% head with 22% body and 22% leg.
Control swingJim Miller's control time moved -75s, 0s against 75s.
Defensive driftJim Miller absorbed significant strikes +20% faster than in R1, 5.5 against 4.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Jim Miller
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
46Nate Diaz sig. strikes
25Jim Miller sig. strikes
2rounds observed
-32%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Jim Miller)
R1
R2
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.