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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R3 · 4:02
Nate DiazRound 3Marcus Davis
28 / 85Sig. strikes8 / 44
33%Accuracy18%
40 / 97Total strikes8 / 44
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
1Sub. attempts0
1:10Control0:00
6.9Pace / min2.0
100%Control share0%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 82% · body 14% · leg 4%
Phasedistance 89% · clinch 4% · ground 7%
Marcus Davis
Targethead 50% · body 0% · leg 50%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeNate Diaz landed 28 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeNate Diaz held 70s of control to 0s.Striking edgeNate Diaz struck at 33% accuracy to 18%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved +20% from R2 to R3, 6.9 against 5.8 per minute.
Pace downMarcus Davis's significant-strike pace moved -53% from R2 to R3, 2.0 against 4.2 per minute.
Accuracy shiftMarcus Davis's significant-strike accuracy moved -11 pts, 18% against 29%.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Marcus Davis
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
94Nate Diaz sig. strikes
52Marcus Davis sig. strikes
3rounds observed
-53%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Marcus Davis)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
