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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Joe StevensonRound 3Nate Diaz
9 / 12Sig. strikes4 / 21
75%Accuracy19%
9 / 12Total strikes38 / 55
0Knockdowns0
3 / 9Takedowns1 / 2
0Sub. attempts1
2:40Control1:13
1.8Pace / min0.8
69%Control share31%
Joe Stevenson
Targethead 11% · body 0% · leg 89%
Phasedistance 11% · clinch 0% · ground 89%
Nate Diaz
Targethead 50% · body 0% · leg 50%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 0% · ground 25%
Statistical signals
Output edgeJoe Stevenson landed 9 significant strikes to 4.Control edgeJoe Stevenson held 160s of control to 73s.Striking edgeJoe Stevenson struck at 75% accuracy to 19%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downJoe Stevenson's significant-strike pace moved -25% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 2.4 per minute.
Phase shiftJoe Stevenson's ground share of landed strikes moved +31 pts, to 89% on the ground against 11% at distance.
Grappling pressureJoe Stevenson attempted 6 more takedowns than in R2, 9 against 3.
Control swingJoe Stevenson's control time moved -82s, 160s against 242s.
Defensive driftJoe Stevenson absorbed significant strikes +300% faster than in R2, 0.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Pace upNate Diaz's significant-strike pace moved +300% from R2 to R3, 0.8 against 0.2 per minute.
Target shiftNate Diaz's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 50% head with 0% body and 50% leg.
Phase shiftNate Diaz's ground share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 25% on the ground against 75% at distance.
Grappling pressureNate Diaz attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Joe Stevenson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Nate Diaz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
27Joe Stevenson sig. strikes
6Nate Diaz sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+300%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Nate Diaz)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
