Home Events UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader Middleweight · 3 rounds · Card
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UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
Saturday, January 30, 2016 · Newark · New Jersey
Full card → Result Rafael Natal def. Kevin Casey Method KO/TKO (Punches to Head From Mount) Round · time Round 3 · 3:37 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5) Referee Gary Copeland Sig. strikes Rafael Natal 54/87 · Kevin Casey 16/49 · PropSports · round totals Total strikes Rafael Natal 123/168 · Kevin Casey 30/64 Scorecards None — the fight ended by KO/TKO Analysis Round-by-round (3 rounds) Result Rafael Natal def. Kevin Casey
KO/TKO (Punches to Head From Mount) · Round 3 · 3:37 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Official scorecards —
No official scorecard exists for this fight The fight ended by KO/TKO (Punches to Head From Mount) in round 3 at 3:37, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports round data ↗
Round-by-Round Analysis Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 3:37
R1 R2 R3
Rafael Natal Round 3 Kevin Casey
23 / 39 Sig. strikes 4 / 12
59% Accuracy 33%
42 / 63 Total strikes 4 / 12
0 Knockdowns 0
1 / 1 Takedowns 0 / 0
0 Sub. attempts 0
1:44 Control 0:00
6.4 Pace / min 1.1
100% Control share 0%
Rafael Natal
Target head 91% · body 0% · leg 9%
Phase distance 30% · clinch 0% · ground 70%
Kevin Casey
Target head 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phase distance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
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Round-over-round signals, statistical edges and this performance measured against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Round statistics above stay free.
Fight summary
54 Rafael Natal sig. strikes
16 Kevin Casey sig. strikes
3 rounds observed
+243% largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Rafael Natal)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 3 rounds · PropSports round stats 54 / 87 Sig. strikes 16 / 49
62% Accuracy 33%
123 / 168 Total strikes 30 / 64
1 Knockdowns 0
4 / 7 Takedowns 0 / 2
0 Sub attempts 0
5:31 Control 2:09
43 Head 10
5 Body 5
6 Leg 1
Rafael Natal Kevin Casey
Round Fighter KD Sig. str. Total TD Sub Ctrl Head Body Leg
Tale of the tape 21-9-1 Record 9-5-2 (2 NC)
33 Age 34
6'0" Height 5'11"
77" Reach 77"
Orthodox Stance Southpaw
3.10 Sig. str./min 2.27
2.55 TD / 15 min 0.79
Rafael Natal 8-7-1 in archive
0 KO/TKO wins
1 Sub wins
13% Finish rate
