Experience: 9 vs 0 five-round fights
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.5 vs 2.5 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (3 vs 1.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 6 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Silva | Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 32 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 77″ | 72″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Silva has 6 archived five-round fights to Maia’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors SilvaSilva holds a 5-inch reach edge (77" to 72"); Maia has to cross distance to land.
Favors SilvaSilva has finished 90% of archived wins (7 KO/TKO, 2 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors SilvaSilva has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Maia keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Silva stays upright, the striking rates (3 vs 1.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
