Durability: Couture finished 6× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (29% vs 91% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Edgar's wrestling (2.3 takedowns per 15) against Penn's striking is the central exchange: Penn stops 74% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 10 vs 1 five-round fights
| Attribute | Edgar | Penn |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 31 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Penn has 10 archived five-round fights to Edgar’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors PennEdgar averages 2.3 takedowns per 15 minutes; Penn has stopped 74% of attempts on record.
Favors PennPenn has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.2 strikes per minute; Edgar has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors EdgarWatch the first takedown attempt from Edgar: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Edgar keeps landing takedowns at 2.3 per 15 minutes; if Penn stays upright, the striking rates (3.8 vs 2.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
