Grappling: 3.4 takedowns / 15 vs 62% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2 vs 0.2 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Mir finished 5× on record
| Attribute | Mir | Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 36 |
| Height | 6′3″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Mir has been finished 5 times in the archive and absorbs 3.8 strikes per minute.
Favors FilipovicMir holds a 6-inch reach edge (79" to 73"); Filipovic has to cross distance to land.
Favors MirFilipovic has finished 100% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors FilipovicMir has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Mir keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Filipovic stays upright, the striking rates (2.2 vs 2.1 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
