Experience: 13 vs 1 five-round fights
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (5.1 vs 2.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 6 vs 3 five-round fights
| Attribute | Dillashaw | Garbrandt |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 27 |
| Height | 5′6″ | 5′8″ |
| Reach | 67″ | 65.5″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Dillashaw has 6 archived five-round fights to Garbrandt’s 3; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors DillashawDillashaw lands 5.1 significant strikes per minute to Garbrandt’s 2.8: a real volume gap.
Favors DillashawGarbrandt has finished 67% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 0 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors GarbrandtGarbrandt has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Dillashaw averages 5.1 landed per minute to Garbrandt at 2.8, so Garbrandt needs the counters to land clean (40% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
