Durability: Oliveira finished 7× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (2.6 vs 3.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDanger zone: 3 recent R1 finishes
| Attribute | Figueiredo | Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 27 |
| Height | 5′5″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 68″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #12 Bantamweight | #8 Flyweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Figueiredo has finished 78% of archived wins (4 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 3 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors FigueiredoMoreno lands 3.8 significant strikes per minute to Figueiredo’s 2.6: a real volume gap.
Favors MorenoFigueiredo has 3 archived five-round fights to Moreno’s 1; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors FigueiredoFigueiredo has 3 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Moreno averages 3.8 landed per minute to Figueiredo at 2.6, so Figueiredo needs the counters to land clean (53% accuracy on record).
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
