Pace: 4.4 vs 2.8 landed / min
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (0.4 vs 2.5 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 4 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Liddell | Sobral |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 36 | 30 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′1″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Liddell has 4 archived five-round fights to Sobral’s 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors LiddellSobral averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Liddell has stopped 81% of attempts on record.
Favors LiddellLiddell has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.7 strikes per minute.
Favors SobralLiddell has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Sobral keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Liddell stays upright, the striking rates (3 vs 2.2 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
