Durability: Arlovski finished 3× on record
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (2.8 vs 0.2 takedowns per 15); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Gonzaga | Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 32 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 73″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Gonzaga holds a 3-inch reach edge (76" to 73"); Filipovic has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors GonzagaGonzaga averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Filipovic has stopped 78% of attempts on record.
Favors FilipovicGonzaga has finished 100% of archived wins (2 KO/TKO, 1 submission).
Favors GonzagaWatch the first takedown attempt from Gonzaga: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Gonzaga keeps landing takedowns at 2.8 per 15 minutes; if Filipovic stays upright, the striking rates (2.1 vs 2.1 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
