Distance: 3-inch reach difference
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The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Stevenson's wrestling (2.8 takedowns per 15) against Sanchez's striking is the central exchange: Sanchez stops 46% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 2.8 takedowns / 15 vs 46% defense
| Attribute | Sanchez | Stevenson |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′7″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Stevenson averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Sanchez has stopped 46% of attempts on record.
Favors SanchezSanchez holds a 2-inch reach edge (72" to 70"); Stevenson has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors SanchezStevenson has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.4 strikes per minute; Sanchez has never been stopped in the stored record.
Favors SanchezSanchez has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Stevenson keeps landing takedowns at 2.8 per 15 minutes; if Sanchez stays upright, the striking rates (2.7 vs 2 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
