Grappling: 5.1 takedowns / 15 vs 52% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a volume gap (4.1 vs 2.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Opposite stances create an open-side geometry from the first exchange — lead-foot position and the rear-hand lane matter more than usual.
Supporting evidencePace: 4.1 vs 2.8 landed / min
| Attribute | Franklin | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 32 |
| Height | 6′1″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 74″ |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Franklin lands 4.1 significant strikes per minute to Silva’s 2.8: a real volume gap.
Favors FranklinFranklin holds a 2-inch reach edge (76" to 74"); Silva has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors FranklinFranklin has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 2.1 strikes per minute.
Favors SilvaSilva has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
The middle rounds belong to whoever sets the pace: Franklin averages 4.1 landed per minute to Silva at 2.8, so Silva needs the counters to land clean (40% accuracy on record).
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
