Grappling: 4.2 takedowns / 15 vs 61% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a finishing gap (56% vs 100% of archived wins); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Koscheck | Yoshida |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 34 |
| Height | 5′10″ | 5′11″ |
| Reach | 73″ | 70″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Koscheck holds a 3-inch reach edge (73" to 70"); Yoshida has to cross distance to land, and opposite stances open the lead-side lane.
Favors KoscheckKoscheck averages 2.5 takedowns per 15 minutes; Yoshida has stopped 25% of attempts on record.
Favors YoshidaKoscheck has 12 archived bouts to Yoshida’s 1: the deeper book of tape belongs to Koscheck.
Favors KoscheckWatch the first takedown attempt from Koscheck: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Koscheck keeps landing takedowns at 2.5 per 15 minutes; if Yoshida stays upright, the striking rates (1.8 vs 0.8 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
