Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.


The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Ribas's wrestling (2 takedowns per 15) against Namajunas's striking is the central exchange: Namajunas stops 62% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 8 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Namajunas | Ribas |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Height | 5′5″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 65″ | 66″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | #6 Women's Flyweight | #13 Women's Strawweight |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Namajunas has 8 archived five-round fights to Ribas’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors NamajunasNamajunas has been finished 2 times in the archive and absorbs 3.4 strikes per minute.
Favors RibasRibas averages 2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Namajunas has stopped 62% of attempts on record.
Favors NamajunasWatch the first takedown attempt from Ribas: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Ribas keeps landing takedowns at 2 per 15 minutes; if Namajunas stays upright, the striking rates (3.5 vs 4.3 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.