Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Teixeira's wrestling (2.1 takedowns per 15) against Santos's striking is the central exchange: Santos stops 65% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceDurability: Santos finished 4× on record
| Attribute | Teixeira | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 41 | 36 |
| Height | 6′2″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 76″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Santos has been finished 4 times in the archive and absorbs 2.6 strikes per minute.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira has 6 archived five-round fights to Santos’ 3; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors TeixeiraTeixeira averages 2.1 takedowns per 15 minutes; Santos has stopped 65% of attempts on record.
Favors SantosWatch the first takedown attempt from Teixeira: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Teixeira keeps landing takedowns at 2.1 per 15 minutes; if Santos stays upright, the striking rates (3.7 vs 3.7 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.