Distance: 5-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Stevenson's wrestling (2.8 takedowns per 15) against Guillard's striking is the central exchange: Guillard stops 61% of attempts on record.
Supporting evidenceGrappling: 2.8 takedowns / 15 vs 61% defense
| Attribute | Stevenson | Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Height | 5′7″ | 5′9″ |
| Reach | 70″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Stevenson averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Guillard has stopped 61% of attempts on record.
Favors GuillardGuillard has finished 100% of archived wins (3 KO/TKO, 0 submission).
Favors Guillard2 and 3 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (44% vs 40%) decides the exchanges.
Watch the first takedown attempt from Stevenson: whether it lands, and how expensive it looks, tells you the shape of the fight.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Stevenson keeps landing takedowns at 2.8 per 15 minutes; if Guillard stays upright, the striking rates (2 vs 3 landed per minute) take over.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
