Distance: 3-inch reach difference
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The evidence points to a grappling gap (3.4 vs 5.2 takedowns per 15) and a volume gap (3.4 vs 1.8 strikes per minute); that is the read to test in the first five minutes.
Supporting evidenceExperience: 11 vs 0 five-round fights
| Attribute | Johnson | Reis |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 30 | 32 |
| Height | 5′3″ | 5′4″ |
| Reach | 66″ | 65″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Johnson has 11 archived five-round fights to Reis’ 0; championship rounds are familiar territory for one side.
Favors JohnsonReis averages 5.2 takedowns per 15 minutes; Johnson has stopped 65% of attempts on record.
Favors JohnsonJohnson lands 3.4 significant strikes per minute to Reis’ 1.8: a real volume gap.
Favors JohnsonReis has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
Rounds two and three turn on whether Johnson keeps landing takedowns at 3.4 per 15 minutes; if Reis stays upright, the striking rates (3.4 vs 1.8 landed per minute) take over.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.
