The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
KO/TKO · R3 · 2:56
Curtis BlaydesRound 3Alistair Overeem
23 / 28Sig. strikes2 / 4
82%Accuracy50%
28 / 34Total strikes3 / 5
0Knockdowns0
1 / 1Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
1:57Control0:00
7.8Pace / min0.7
100%Control share0%
Curtis Blaydes
Targethead 91% · body 9% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 13% · clinch 43% · ground 43%
Alistair Overeem
Targethead 0% · body 100% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeCurtis Blaydes landed 23 significant strikes to 2.Control edgeCurtis Blaydes held 117s of control to 0s.Striking edgeCurtis Blaydes struck at 82% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace upCurtis Blaydes's significant-strike pace moved +202% from R2 to R3, 7.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftCurtis Blaydes's significant-strike accuracy moved +17 pts, 82% against 65%.
Target shiftCurtis Blaydes's head share of landed strikes moved +14 pts, to 91% head with 9% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftCurtis Blaydes's ground share of landed strikes moved -41 pts, to 43% on the ground against 13% at distance.
Control swingCurtis Blaydes's control time moved -94s, 117s against 211s.
Accuracy shiftAlistair Overeem's significant-strike accuracy moved -30 pts, 50% against 80%.
Target shiftAlistair Overeem's head share of landed strikes moved -50 pts, to 0% head with 100% body and 0% leg.
Defensive driftAlistair Overeem absorbed significant strikes +202% faster than in R2, 7.8 against 2.6 per minute.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Curtis Blaydes
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Alistair Overeem
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
37Curtis Blaydes sig. strikes
7Alistair Overeem sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+1200%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Curtis Blaydes)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
