Home Events UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort Donald Cerrone vs Paul Kelly Donald Cerrone vs Paul Kelly · UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort Lightweight · 3 rounds · Card
Final UFC CageSide IQ · All Access exclusive The Fight Blueprint before, the verified pulse during, and the Verdict after — did PBE's locked call hold up? Open CageSide IQ → ADVERTISEMENT · PARTNER LINK
Prediction markets on Polymarket Explore UFC and other prediction markets on Polymarket.
PropBetEdge may earn compensation from qualifying Polymarket activity. Compensation does not influence PropBetEdge analysis, picks, rankings or market comparisons. Availability and trading eligibility vary by location. Trading involves risk.
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
Saturday, February 5, 2011 · Las Vegas · Nevada
Full card → Result Donald Cerrone def. Paul Kelly Method Submission (Rear Naked Choke) Round · time Round 2 · 3:48 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5) Referee Steve Mazzagatti Sig. strikes Donald Cerrone 37/74 · Paul Kelly 22/75 · PropSports · round totals Total strikes Donald Cerrone 62/101 · Paul Kelly 29/82 Scorecards None — the fight ended by Submission Analysis Round-by-round (2 rounds) Result Donald Cerrone def. Paul Kelly
Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Round 2 · 3:48 · 3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Official scorecards —
No official scorecard exists for this fight The fight ended by Submission (Rear Naked Choke) in round 2 at 3:48, so it never went to the judges and no scorecard was rendered. Nothing is missing: an official scorecard only exists where a bout goes the distance or is stopped and scored. PropBetEdge does not estimate, reconstruct or infer scores for a finish.
Result source · PropSports round data ↗
Round-by-Round Analysis Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Submission · R2 · 3:48
R1 R2
Donald Cerrone Round 2 Paul Kelly
17 / 34 Sig. strikes 10 / 34
50% Accuracy 29%
31 / 48 Total strikes 16 / 40
0 Knockdowns 0
1 / 1 Takedowns 0 / 0
1 Sub. attempts 1
1:35 Control 0:00
4.5 Pace / min 2.6
100% Control share 0%
Donald Cerrone
Target head 47% · body 29% · leg 24%
Phase distance 65% · clinch 6% · ground 29%
Paul Kelly
Target head 50% · body 30% · leg 20%
Phase distance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
UFC Pro
Unlock Round Intelligence
Round-over-round signals, statistical edges and this performance measured against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Round statistics above stay free.
Fight summary
37 Donald Cerrone sig. strikes
22 Paul Kelly sig. strikes
2 rounds observed
+12% largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Donald Cerrone)
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
Fight stats 2 rounds · PropSports round stats 37 / 74 Sig. strikes 22 / 75
50% Accuracy 29%
62 / 101 Total strikes 29 / 82
0 Knockdowns 0
3 / 4 Takedowns 0 / 0
1 Sub attempts 2
3:31 Control 0:00
14 Head 16
13 Body 4
10 Leg 2
Donald Cerrone Paul Kelly
Round Fighter KD Sig. str. Total TD Sub Ctrl Head Body Leg R1
Tale of the tape 36-17-0 (2 NC) Record 14-5-0
27 Age 26
6'1" Height 5'9"
73" Reach 70"
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
4.41 Sig. str./min 3.22
1.16 TD / 15 min 1.34
Donald Cerrone 22-14 in archive
10 KO/TKO wins
5 Sub wins
68% Finish rate
Paul Kelly 5-3 in archive
1 KO/TKO wins
1 Sub wins
40% Finish rate
