Market closedSettled
Prediction-market prices, not sportsbook odds and not a PropBetEdge model. Settlement is the market venue's, not our result.
A draw or no contest pays 50¢ per contract.
Majority draw. Neither fighter took the bout; 2 of 3 cards were level. With no winner on record the archive cannot say which number on each card belongs to which fighter, so both are shown exactly as stored.
Scorecards as recorded by PropSports results · source ↗ · fighter attribution derived from the recorded result, not assumed from score order · how this is built
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
|---|---|---|
| 49/126 | Sig. strikes39% · 30% | 25/83 |
| 88/166 | Total strikes | 47/115 |
| 0/1 | Takedowns | 1/11 |
| 4:10 | Control | 5:55 |
| 0 | Reversals | 0 |
| 31/104 | Head | 12/59 |
|---|---|---|
| 7/10 | Body | 9/19 |
| 11/12 | Leg | 4/5 |
| 33/108 | Distance | 19/72 |
|---|---|---|
| 9/10 | Clinch | 6/11 |
| 7/8 | Ground | 0/0 |
Both breakdowns decompose the same significant-strike totals, once by target and once by position, so each adds back to the sig. strikes line above.
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
| Round | Fighter | KD | Sig. str. | Total | TD | Sub | Ctrl | Head | Body | Leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gatto’s majority draw with Ernesta Kareckaite preserved her uneven recent record but reinforced a more useful betting read: her fights increasingly hinge on clinch position, takedown outcomes and late-round control.
Does the finishing pattern in our archive make this a fight that ends early? Tale of the tape, form and the distance question for Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Melissa Gatto at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Oct 10, 2026.
| R1 |
| Ernesta Kareckaite |
| 0 |
| 7/16 |
| 31/42 |
| 0/1 |
| 0 |
| 3:06 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 10/17 | 17/24 | 0/4 | 1 | 0:55 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| R2 | Ernesta Kareckaite | 0 | 30/84 | 62/117 | 0/0 | 0 | 1:04 | 22 | 5 | 3 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 27/52 | 35/60 | 0/5 | 0 | 0:36 | 11 | 12 | 4 |
| R3 | Ernesta Kareckaite | 0 | 11/21 | 11/21 | 0/0 | 0 | 0:00 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| Melissa Gatto | 0 | 4/10 | 22/31 | 1/2 | 1 | 4:24 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
