The market provider is not connected in this environment. No prices are estimated in its absence.
Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Lyoto MachidaRound 3Tito Ortiz
9 / 18Sig. strikes13 / 19
50%Accuracy68%
27 / 37Total strikes33 / 39
1Knockdowns0
0 / 0Takedowns0 / 3
0Sub. attempts2
2:27Control0:19
1.8Pace / min2.6
89%Control share11%
Lyoto Machida
Targethead 67% · body 11% · leg 22%
Phasedistance 44% · clinch 0% · ground 56%
Tito Ortiz
Targethead 15% · body 69% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 15% · clinch 85% · ground 0%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTito Ortiz landed 13 significant strikes to 9.Control edgeLyoto Machida held 147s of control to 19s.Striking edgeTito Ortiz struck at 68% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downLyoto Machida's significant-strike pace moved -40% from R2 to R3, 1.8 against 3.0 per minute.
Accuracy shiftLyoto Machida's significant-strike accuracy moved -33 pts, 50% against 83%.
Target shiftLyoto Machida's head share of landed strikes moved +13 pts, to 67% head with 11% body and 22% leg.
Phase shiftLyoto Machida's ground share of landed strikes moved +56 pts, to 56% on the ground against 44% at distance.
Control swingLyoto Machida's control time moved +128s, 147s against 19s.
Defensive driftLyoto Machida absorbed significant strikes +333% faster than in R2, 2.6 against 0.6 per minute.
Pace upTito Ortiz's significant-strike pace moved +333% from R2 to R3, 2.6 against 0.6 per minute.
Accuracy shiftTito Ortiz's significant-strike accuracy moved +50 pts, 68% against 19%.
Target shiftTito Ortiz's head share of landed strikes moved +15 pts, to 15% head with 69% body and 15% leg.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Lyoto Machida
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tito Ortiz
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
41Lyoto Machida sig. strikes
16Tito Ortiz sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+333%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Tito Ortiz)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
