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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Matheus NicolauRound 3David Dvorak
13 / 30Sig. strikes8 / 36
43%Accuracy22%
14 / 33Total strikes28 / 59
0Knockdowns0
0 / 2Takedowns0 / 2
0Sub. attempts0
0:00Control1:25
2.6Pace / min1.6
0%Control share100%
Matheus Nicolau
Targethead 62% · body 23% · leg 15%
Phasedistance 100% · clinch 0% · ground 0%
David Dvorak
Targethead 63% · body 13% · leg 25%
Phasedistance 75% · clinch 0% · ground 25%
Statistical signals
Output edgeMatheus Nicolau landed 13 significant strikes to 8.Control edgeDavid Dvorak held 85s of control to 0s.Striking edgeMatheus Nicolau struck at 43% accuracy to 22%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Pace downMatheus Nicolau's significant-strike pace moved -24% from R2 to R3, 2.6 against 3.4 per minute.
Grappling pressureMatheus Nicolau attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Pace downDavid Dvorak's significant-strike pace moved -58% from R2 to R3, 1.6 against 3.8 per minute.
Accuracy shiftDavid Dvorak's significant-strike accuracy moved -17 pts, 22% against 40%.
Phase shiftDavid Dvorak's ground share of landed strikes moved +25 pts, to 25% on the ground against 75% at distance.
Grappling pressureDavid Dvorak attempted 2 more takedowns than in R2, 2 against 0.
Control swingDavid Dvorak's control time moved +85s, 85s against 0s.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Matheus Nicolau
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
David Dvorak
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
36Matheus Nicolau sig. strikes
39David Dvorak sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+183%largest pace swing, R1 to R2 (Matheus Nicolau)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
