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Round-by-Round Analysis
Fight progression reconstructed from verified round-level observations.
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
Paddy PimblettRound 3Tony Ferguson
17 / 34Sig. strikes22 / 32
50%Accuracy69%
29 / 49Total strikes41 / 52
0Knockdowns0
1 / 3Takedowns0 / 0
0Sub. attempts0
3:38Control0:00
3.4Pace / min4.4
100%Control share0%
Paddy Pimblett
Targethead 82% · body 0% · leg 18%
Phasedistance 47% · clinch 0% · ground 53%
Tony Ferguson
Targethead 50% · body 50% · leg 0%
Phasedistance 73% · clinch 0% · ground 27%
Statistical signals
Output edgeTony Ferguson landed 22 significant strikes to 17.Control edgePaddy Pimblett held 218s of control to 0s.Striking edgeTony Ferguson struck at 69% accuracy to 50%.
Descriptive only. These compare recorded output; they are not judge scores and do not say who won the round.
What changed from R2
Accuracy shiftPaddy Pimblett's significant-strike accuracy moved -20 pts, 50% against 70%.
Phase shiftPaddy Pimblett's ground share of landed strikes moved -26 pts, to 53% on the ground against 47% at distance.
Grappling pressurePaddy Pimblett attempted 3 more takedowns than in R2, 3 against 0.
Defensive driftPaddy Pimblett absorbed significant strikes +100% faster than in R2, 4.4 against 2.2 per minute.
Pace upTony Ferguson's significant-strike pace moved +100% from R2 to R3, 4.4 against 2.2 per minute.
Target shiftTony Ferguson's head share of landed strikes moved -23 pts, to 50% head with 50% body and 0% leg.
Phase shiftTony Ferguson's ground share of landed strikes moved -18 pts, to 27% on the ground against 73% at distance.
Observed fight vs historical Fight DNA
Compares this fight against each fighter's pre-fight Fight DNA baseline. Shown only where the historical sample supports it.
Paddy Pimblett
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Tony Ferguson
Insufficient sample. This fighter's Fight DNA as of the event date did not have enough covered rounds to compare against, so no deviation is shown.
Fight summary
106Paddy Pimblett sig. strikes
62Tony Ferguson sig. strikes
3rounds observed
+100%largest pace swing, R2 to R3 (Tony Ferguson)
R1
R2
R3
Pace is significant strikes landed per minute of observed round time. A round with no recorded observation is left empty rather than drawn as zero.
