Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Katlyn Cerminara: women's flyweight prelim preview at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott

The setup

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott lands on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at Rogers Place in Edmonton, and on the prelims sits Jamey-Lyn Horth (9-3-0) against Katlyn Cerminara (18-6-0) at women's flyweight, scheduled for three rounds.

The card carries 15 bouts in our tables, with this pairing on the prelims. The bout is listed as announced in the PropBetEdge schedule.

The question this preview works through is simple: does either side bring a measurable edge, or is this a matchup the data leaves open? Career-to-date round statistics are on file for both fighters, and the archive holds 7 completed UFC bouts for Jamey-Lyn Horth and 17 completed UFC bouts for Katlyn Cerminara.

Tale of the tape

• Record: Jamey-Lyn Horth 9-3-0 · Katlyn Cerminara 18-6-0
• Age: Jamey-Lyn Horth 36 · Katlyn Cerminara 37
• Height: Jamey-Lyn Horth 5'7" · Katlyn Cerminara 5'9"
• Reach: Jamey-Lyn Horth 66" · Katlyn Cerminara 68"
• Stance: Jamey-Lyn Horth Orthodox · Katlyn Cerminara Orthodox
• Listed weight: Jamey-Lyn Horth 126 lbs · Katlyn Cerminara 125 lbs

Range is the first thing the tape flags: Katlyn Cerminara holds 2 inches of reach (68" to 66"), which sets the distance Jamey-Lyn Horth has to cross to land. A reach edge of that size matters more when the longer fighter also sets the pace, and here Cerminara does: 4.58 significant strikes landed per minute against 3.8 for Horth. Length with output behind it is how rounds get banked from the outside. Both fight orthodox, so lead hands mirror and the rear-hand exchanges are conventional.

Recent form

Our archive has 7 completed UFC bouts for Jamey-Lyn Horth, 4 wins and 3 losses. 1 of those wins came inside the distance (1 by KO/TKO), a 25% finish rate on archived wins. The losses went to the scorecards. She last fought on Apr 18, 2026 and lost to JJ Aldrich by unanimous decision in round 3. That puts her 182 days out by fight night.

• L vs JJ Aldrich — unanimous decision, R3 (Apr 18, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott)
• W vs Tereza Bleda — KO/TKO, R1 (Dec 14, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape)
• W vs Vanessa Demopoulos — unanimous decision, R3 (Jun 14, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley)
• L vs Miranda Maverick — unanimous decision, R3 (Dec 14, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley)
• W vs Ivana Petrovic — split decision, R3 (Nov 2, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi)

Katlyn Cerminara has 17 completed UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge archive: 11 wins and 6 losses. None of those wins came inside the distance, a pattern that leans toward the judges. She has been finished twice in the archive. Most recently she lost to Maycee Barber by unanimous decision in round 3 on Mar 9, 2024. That is 952 days before fight night on our dates, a layoff long enough to count as a variable in its own right.

• L vs Maycee Barber — unanimous decision, R3 (Mar 9, 2024, UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2)
• L vs Manon Fiorot — unanimous decision, R3 (Oct 22, 2022, UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev)
• W vs Amanda Ribas — split decision, R3 (May 14, 2022, UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic)
• W vs Jennifer Maia — unanimous decision, R3 (Jan 15, 2022, UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze)
• W vs Viviane Araujo — unanimous decision, R3 (May 15, 2021, UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler)

Jamey-Lyn Horth is the more recently active of the two (182 days out against 952 for Cerminara). Both archives lean toward decisions (25% and 0% of wins finished), which points the other way on the distance question.

Style and statistical matchup

Jamey-Lyn Horth lands 3.8 significant strikes per minute at 47% accuracy; Katlyn Cerminara lands 4.58 at 34%. The two are close on volume, so neither side can expect to win rounds on activity alone. On the other side of the exchange, Jamey-Lyn Horth absorbs 2.64 per minute with 63% striking defence and Katlyn Cerminara absorbs 4.48 with 62%.

On the ground, Jamey-Lyn Horth averages 0.98 takedowns per 15 minutes at 42% accuracy and defends 80% of attempts against her; Katlyn Cerminara averages 0.31 at 15% and defends 50%. Neither fighter wrestles much by the averages, which points to a fight decided on the feet and makes the striking figures above the ones that matter.

All of these are career-to-date PropSports round-statistics snapshots at capture, not as-of figures for this bout: they describe each fighter across every opponent, which is why the archive form above is read alongside them rather than replaced by them.

Round-level PropSports data exists for 19 archived rounds of Jamey-Lyn Horth's: 350 of 735 significant strikes landed (48%), 18.4 per round, 6 of 14 takedowns, 13:31 of control time. Round-level PropSports data exists for 49 archived rounds of Katlyn Cerminara's: 1104 of 3159 significant strikes landed (35%), 22.5 per round, 5 of 32 takedowns, 19:01 of control time and 1 knockdown. Those samples are small and uneven, so they colour the career averages rather than override them.

What could break the angle

Here is where the read could be wrong. Katlyn Cerminara will have been out 952 days by fight night on our archive dates: a long layoff the averages cannot price. Career averages are career-to-date snapshots at capture; they include fights outside this matchup context and are not as-of figures. There is also no odds snapshot in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so nothing above can be checked against a market yet; the read describes what to look for, not where value sits. A late weigh-in miss, a replacement or a change in scheduled rounds would each invalidate parts of it.

Final read

On the data, neither fighter carries a material edge into this one; the tape is close and the archive does not separate them. The uncertainty is ordinary fight variance rather than missing data. What to monitor: the three-round format holding, the weigh-in, and once a price exists, where the fight goes the distance and method of victory markets open relative to this read. No model price or market line exists in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so this is not a pick; the Bettor's Edge panel above carries the impact score and the markets connected to the evidence.

Matchup page: Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Katlyn Cerminara · Full card: UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Fighter pages: Jamey-Lyn Horth, Katlyn Cerminara.