Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
Miocic's output (4.7 per minute) against Werdum's more selective 3.6: pace versus precision.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Miocic | Werdum |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 33 | 38 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′4″ |
| Reach | 80″ | 77″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Miocic holds a 3-inch reach edge (80" to 77"); Werdum has to cross distance to land.
Favors Miocic4.7 and 3.6 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (52% vs 52%) decides the exchanges.
Werdum averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes; Miocic has stopped 65% of attempts on record.
Favors MiocicMiocic has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 52% and 55%.
Scheduled for five rounds: 25 minutes changes the pace math, and a fighter who banks two early rounds can afford to manage the fourth.