Grappling: 3.4 takedowns / 15 vs 36% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Kampmann | Condit |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 24 |
| Height | 6′0″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 72″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Condit holds a 3-inch reach edge (75" to 72"); Kampmann has to cross distance to land.
Favors ConditKampmann has finished 80% of archived wins (1 KO/TKO, 3 submission), 2 of them inside round one in the last 5.
Favors KampmannKampmann averages 1.9 takedowns per 15 minutes; Condit has stopped 38% of attempts on record.
Favors ConditKampmann has 2 first-round finishes in the last 5 archived results — the opening minutes carry real finishing risk.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 62% and 55%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
