39,630 traded · OI 33,944 · Spread 1¢
66,764 traded · OI 58,355 · Spread 1¢
Live prediction-market pricing — no sportsbook line required. Traded contract prices on Kalshi, not sportsbook odds and not a PropBetEdge model. Each YES contract pays $1 if that outcome happens. Mid-market is the midpoint of the best YES bid and ask, shown only when the spread is 10¢ or less. Movement uses our stored observations only.
A draw or no contest pays 50¢ per contract.
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This bout has not taken place. Round-by-round analysis appears once verified round-level observations are published.
Dvalishvili says he recognized early that his wrestling would not carry the rematch, sharpening the central betting question before their five-round trilogy bout at UFC 333.
Petr Yan (20-5-0) meets Merab Dvalishvili (21-5-0) at UFC 333 on Oct 24, 2026. The question this preview works through: where is the edge, and what data is missing?
Dvalishvili says he abandoned his pressure-wrestling identity in the rematch, but Yan’s 86 percent takedown defence makes the proposed correction more complicated than simply shooting more often.
