Mantas Kondratavičius vs. Andre Petroski: middleweight prelim preview at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker

• Record: Mantas Kondratavičius 9-1-0 · Andre Petroski 13-7-0
• Age: Mantas Kondratavičius 27 · Andre Petroski 35
• Height: Mantas Kondratavičius 6'2" · Andre Petroski 6'0"
• Reach: Mantas Kondratavičius 75.5" · Andre Petroski 73"
• Stance: Mantas Kondratavičius Orthodox · Andre Petroski Switch
• Listed weight: Mantas Kondratavičius 185 lbs · Andre Petroski 185 lbs

Range is the first thing the tape flags: Mantas Kondratavičius holds 2.5 inches of reach (75.5" to 73"), which sets the distance Andre Petroski has to cross to land. A reach edge of that size matters more when the longer fighter also sets the pace, and here Kondratavičius does: 4.97 significant strikes landed per minute against 2.75 for Petroski. Length with output behind it is how rounds get banked from the outside. Mantas Kondratavičius is the younger by 8 years (27 to 35). Age on its own tells you little at this level; it reads better alongside the layoff figures in the form section. Andre Petroski is listed as a switch-stance fighter, so his lead side can change through the fight and the opponent's setups have to work in both directions.

Recent form

Mantas Kondratavičius has 2 completed UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge archive: 2 wins. 1 of those wins came inside the distance (1 by KO/TKO), a 50% finish rate on archived wins. He last fought on Mar 21, 2026 and beat Antonio Trocoli by unanimous decision in round 3. That puts him 231 days out by fight night.

• W vs Antonio Trocoli — unanimous decision, R3 (Mar 21, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy)
• W vs Djani Barbir — KO/TKO, R1 (Sep 24, 2025, Dana White's Contender Series: Season 9, Week 7)

Andre Petroski has 13 completed UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge archive: 8 wins and 5 losses. 3 of those wins came inside the distance (1 by KO/TKO and 2 by submission), a 38% finish rate on archived wins. He has been finished 4 times in the archive. He last fought on May 16, 2026 and lost to Cody Brundage by KO/TKO in round 2. That puts him 175 days out by fight night.

• L vs Cody Brundage — KO/TKO, R2 (May 16, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa)
• L vs Cam Rowston — KO/TKO, R1 (Sep 27, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes)
• L vs Edmen Shahbazyan — unanimous decision, R3 (Jun 14, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley)
• W vs Rodolfo Vieira — unanimous decision, R3 (Feb 15, 2025, UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues)
• W vs Dylan Budka — unanimous decision, R3 (Sep 7, 2024, UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady)

Style and statistical matchup

Mantas Kondratavičius lands 4.97 significant strikes per minute at 65% accuracy; Andre Petroski lands 2.75 at 49%. That 2.22-per-minute gap in Mantas Kondratavičius's favour is a real pace differential: over three rounds it compounds into a scorecard edge unless the lower-volume fighter is landing the more damaging shots. On the other side of the exchange, Mantas Kondratavičius absorbs 1.3 per minute with 57% striking defence and Andre Petroski absorbs 2.99 with 51%.

On the ground, Mantas Kondratavičius averages 2.8 takedowns per 15 minutes at 60% accuracy and defends 91% of attempts against him; Andre Petroski averages 3.13 at 52% and defends 86%. Andre Petroski attempts 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes, the higher rate of the two, so any ground time carries a finishing threat.

All of these are career-to-date PropSports round-statistics snapshots at capture, not as-of figures for this bout: they describe each fighter across every opponent, which is why the archive form above is read alongside them rather than replaced by them.

Round-level PropSports data exists for 3 archived rounds of Mantas Kondratavičius's: 75 of 107 significant strikes landed (70%), 25 per round, 2 of 4 takedowns, 6:06 of control time and 1 knockdown. Round-level PropSports data exists for 31 archived rounds of Andre Petroski's: 370 of 752 significant strikes landed (49%), 11.9 per round, 28 of 53 takedowns, 52:32 of control time and 1 knockdown. Those samples are small and uneven, so they colour the career averages rather than override them.

What could break the angle

Start with what is missing. Mantas Kondratavičius has only 2 archived UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge database, so the form read is thin. Career averages are career-to-date snapshots at capture; they include fights outside this matchup context and are not as-of figures. There is also no odds snapshot in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so nothing above can be checked against a market yet; the read describes what to look for, not where value sits. A late weigh-in miss, a replacement or a change in scheduled rounds would each invalidate parts of it.

Final read

On the data, neither fighter carries a material edge into this one; the tape is close and the archive does not separate them. The uncertainty is mostly about coverage: archive shorter than 3 bouts for Mantas Kondratavičius. What to monitor: the three-round format holding, the weigh-in, and once a price exists, where the moneyline, fight goes the distance, method of victory and significant strikes markets open relative to this read. No model price or market line exists in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so this is not a pick; the Bettor's Edge panel above carries the impact score and the markets connected to the evidence.

Matchup page: Mantas Kondratavičius vs. Andre Petroski · Full card: UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Fighter pages: Mantas Kondratavičius, Andre Petroski.