Grappling: 3 takedowns / 15 vs 29% defense
Read matchup Real analysis. Smarter reads. A deeper understanding of the card.
The stored numbers are close enough that this is a fight about execution and adjustments rather than one obvious mismatch.
The stored career numbers do not draw a sharp contrast between these two, which usually means the fight is decided by adjustments rather than a single dominant phase.
Supporting evidenceDistance: 3-inch reach difference
| Attribute | Bonnar | Jardine |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Height | 6′4″ | 6′2″ |
| Reach | 79″ | 76″ |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Rank | Unranked | Unranked |
Highlighted rows mark a meaningful factual difference, not an advantage. Unpublished values stay unpublished.
Bonnar holds a 3-inch reach edge (79" to 76"); Jardine has to cross distance to land.
Favors Bonnar2.8 and 3.3 significant strikes per minute: similar output, so accuracy (38% vs 36%) decides the exchanges.
Neither fighter shoots often, but Bonnar attempts 1 submissions per 15 minutes once a scramble starts.
Favors BonnarWho sets the range in round one: Bonnar holds the longer reach, so early success for the shorter fighter usually requires feints and fast entries.
With the stored numbers close, the middle rounds come down to adjustments: who solves the opening read first, with strike defense at 52% and 59%.
Three rounds only: a slow first round is expensive, and round three is often fought by whoever has the gas tank and the lead on the cards.
