Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli: flyweight main card preview at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker

• Record: Mitch Raposo 11-3-0 · Marcos Degli 15-3-0
• Age: Mitch Raposo 28 · Marcos Degli 26
• Height: Mitch Raposo 5'5" · Marcos Degli 5'6"
• Reach: Mitch Raposo 64.5" · Marcos Degli n/a
• Stance: Mitch Raposo Switch · Marcos Degli n/a
• Listed weight: Mitch Raposo 125 lbs · Marcos Degli 125 lbs

Reach is not listed for Marcos Degli, so the tape cannot say who has the length.

Recent form

Mitch Raposo has 5 completed UFC bouts in the PropBetEdge archive: 2 wins and 3 losses. None of those wins came inside the distance, a pattern that leans toward the judges. He has been finished once in the archive. He last fought on Jun 20, 2026 and beat Allan Nascimento by split decision in round 3. That puts him 140 days out by fight night.

• W vs Allan Nascimento — split decision, R3 (Jun 20, 2026, UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi 2)
• W vs Azat Maksum — unanimous decision, R3 (Oct 25, 2025, UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane)
• L vs Sumudaerji — split decision, R3 (Apr 12, 2025, UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes)
• L vs Andre Lima — split decision, R3 (Jun 1, 2024, UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier)
• L vs Jake Hadley — submission, R2 (Oct 13, 2021, Dana White's Contender Series: Season 5, Week 7)

Marcos Degli has 1 completed UFC bout in the PropBetEdge archive: 1 win. That win came inside the distance. He last fought on Sep 22, 2026 and beat Paris Moran by submission in round 2. That is 46 days before fight night, a quick turnaround.

• W vs Paris Moran — submission, R2 (Sep 22, 2026, Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 7)

Style and statistical matchup

Mitch Raposo lands 1.91 significant strikes per minute at 38% accuracy and absorbs 2.92 with 60% striking defence. He averages 1.98 takedowns per 15 minutes at 36% accuracy and defends 68% of takedowns, with 0 submission attempts per 15. For Marcos Degli, our tables carry no round-level averages, so the comparison is one-sided: treat this as a description of what Raposo brings, not a matchup edge. A 1.91-per-minute output is low volume, which usually means a fighter who picks moments rather than accumulates, and that shapes what a scorecard fight would look like.

Round-level PropSports data exists for 14 archived rounds of Mitch Raposo's: 130 of 339 significant strikes landed (38%), 9.3 per round, 9 of 25 takedowns, 7:36 of control time. That is a small sample and is offered as colour, not as a rate.

What could break the angle

The counter-case is mostly about sample. Marcos Degli has only 1 archived UFC bout in the PropBetEdge database, so the form read is thin. Round-level striking and grappling averages are not on file for Marcos Degli, so pace, defence and takedown rates cannot be compared both ways. Reach is not listed for Marcos Degli, so the range read is missing a number. There is also no odds snapshot in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so nothing above can be checked against a market yet; the read describes what to look for, not where value sits. A late weigh-in miss, a replacement or a change in scheduled rounds would each invalidate parts of it.

Final read

On the data, neither fighter carries a material edge into this one; the tape is close and the archive does not separate them. The uncertainty is mostly about coverage: no career-to-date round statistics for Marcos Degli; archive shorter than 3 bouts for Marcos Degli; reach not listed. What to monitor: the weigh-in, the scheduled-rounds confirmation, and the opening price once one exists, because no market is singled out here. No model price or market line exists in PropBetEdge data for this bout, so this is not a pick; the Bettor's Edge panel above carries the impact score and the markets connected to the evidence.

Matchup page: Mitch Raposo vs. Marcos Degli · Full card: UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · Fighter pages: Mitch Raposo, Marcos Degli.